NHS activity and performance summary: September and October 2023
Report summarising data on activity and performance in the Welsh NHS for September and October 2023.
A PDF download of this document will be available soon.
In this page
Introduction
In light of the impact COVID-19 has had on NHS activity and performance levels, the Welsh Government has published its programme for transforming and modernising planned care and reducing waiting lists in Wales. This plan sets out a number of key ambitions to reduce waiting times for people in Wales. We have incorporated performance measures against these ambitions into this statistical release and on StatsWales.
Data provided in this statistical report has been provided by Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW) unless stated otherwise. Data for each topic area are also available in more detail on our StatsWales website.
Main points
In October, more than 75,700 calls were made to the 111 helpline service, an increase of around 4,700 calls compared to the previous month. Of these, just under 71,800 calls were answered (95%). There were also over 454,700 hits on the NHS 111 Wales website and over 12,400 completed symptom checks (NHS 111 Wales).
In October there were 4,918 red (life threatening) calls to the ambulance service, 13.7% of all calls. An average of 159 immediately life-threatening calls were made each day, 11 more than in September and the second highest on record.
47.2% of red calls received an emergency response within eight minutes. This was 1.5 percentage points lower than in September, and the lowest since December 2022. Data for red calls are only comparable from May 2019 onwards.
There was an average of 3,009 daily attendances to emergency departments, a decrease compared to the previous month. Performance decreased slightly against the four hour target and the twelve hour target. The average (median) time spent in emergency departments increased by 5 minutes in October compared to the previous month at two hours and forty nine minutes.
The pandemic has caused a large increase in patient pathways waiting to start treatment. In September the number increased from just under 760,300 to just over 761,100, the seventh consecutive increase and the highest figure on record. The number of patient pathways is not the same as the number of individual patients, because some people have multiple open pathways. More information is available in the Welsh Government’s Chief Statistician’s blog.
Management information suggests that in September, when there were just over 761,100 open patient pathways, there were about 594,000 individual patients on treatment waiting lists in Wales, the highest figure on record.
The proportion of patient pathways waiting less than 26 weeks decreased to 58% in September. This has been relatively stable after falling significantly from the levels pre-pandemic. The number of pathways waiting longer than 36 weeks decreased in September, to just over 229,150, remaining high in historical context.
About 26,400 pathways were waiting more than two years, 62.5% lower than the peak and continuing to fall month on month. The average (median) time patient pathways had been waiting for treatment at the end of September was 0.2 weeks higher than the previous month at 19.9 weeks.
The planned care recovery plan established a target to eliminate two year waits in most specialties by March 2023, with ‘most’ referring to all specialties excluding excluding seven recognised as exceptionally challenging even prior to the pandemic. The target was not met in March and in September there were still a further 14 specialties with pathways waiting more than two years accounting for 3,300 pathways.
Headline measures for open pathways across the UK are not comparable. There are large differences between Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland statistics, meaning they should not be compared at all. With England, current understanding suggests a broadly comparable number can be produced for Wales by removing some known non-consultant led pathways which are not counted in England. On that basis, there are around 675,000 open pathways on consultant-led pathways in Wales, equivalent to 22 pathways (not patients) for every 100 people. For England, the figure in September was 14 pathways for every 100 people.
Pathways waiting longer than one year for their first outpatient appointment decreased to around 51,700, 49.7% less than the peak in August 2022. The planned care recovery target to eliminate these by the end of 2022 was not met.
For diagnostic services, patient pathways waiting increased to just under 120,400 in September the highest on record. The number waiting longer than eight weeks (the target maximum wait) increased to just under 51,300. For therapies, patient pathways waiting increased to just over 70,100 in September. The number waiting longer than fourteen weeks (the target maximum wait) increased to just under 11,000.
For cancer services, fewer people started their first definitive treatment in September (1,706) than the previous month. The number of pathways closed following the patient being informed they did not have cancer increased from the previous month to 13,990. Performance decreased against the 62 day target in September to 52.9%, compared to 57.3% the previous month. This was the second lowest on record.
Unscheduled care
New data relating to unscheduled care are provided for the month of October 2023.
Calls to 111 service
As of 16 March 2022, the non-emergency 111 helpline service has been rolled out across the whole of Wales.
Activity
Figure 1: Calls received and calls answered by the NHS 111 service
Description of Figure 1: A line chart showing the number of calls received by the 111 service has been relatively stable during 2023, with gradual increases in the number of calls answered and calls answered within 60 seconds.
Source: Welsh Ambulance Services NHS Trust
111 service activity in Wales, by date and measure, on StatsWales
In October, a total of 75,725 calls were made to the 111 helpline service, an increase of over 4,700 calls compared to the previous month. Of these, over 71,700 (95%) calls were answered by the 111 service, an average of just over 2,300 calls per day.
An estimated 3,967 (5%) calls were ended by the caller before being answered. Of these, 1,744 were ended within 60 seconds of the automated messages, suggesting their needs were likely to have been met.
Over 2,200 calls were abandoned after 60 seconds and these are regarded as callers who were more likely to have still required the service after the messages but were unable to get through or decided not to wait.
Of the calls answered, 1,326 calls indicated that they wished to conduct the call in Welsh.
There were over 454,700 hits on the NHS 111 Wales website and over 12,400 completed symptom checks (NHS 111 Wales) in October.
Emergency calls to the ambulance service
A wider range of ambulance quality indicators are published on the Emergency Ambulance Services Committee (EASC) website and on StatsWales.
Calls to the ambulance service are categorised as red (immediately life-threatening), amber (serious but not life-threatening) or green (non-urgent).
Activity
Figure 2: Average daily emergency ambulance calls, by call type and month [Note 1]
Description of Figure 2: A line chart showing the number of emergency calls received by the Welsh Ambulance Services NHS Trust. An Amber call is the most common call and the number of red calls is showing an upward trend over the years.
Source: Welsh Ambulance Services NHS Trust
Emergency ambulance calls and responses to red calls, by local health board and month, on StatsWales
[Note 1] An update to call handling in May 2019 resulted in a change to red incident volume. It is not possible to directly compare before and after this date. Further details are available in the quality information.
In October, just over 35,900 emergency calls were made to the ambulance service. This was an average of 1,159 calls per day, on average 24 calls per day less than the previous month, and 54 (4.5%) less per day than the same month last year.
An average of 159 red calls were made per day in October, 11 more compared with the previous month and the second highest on record.
In October, the proportion of all calls that were immediately life-threatening was 13.7%, up from 12.5% in September and also the second highest on record.
Performance
Target
- 65% of red calls (immediately life-threatening, someone is in imminent danger of death, such as a cardiac arrest) to have a response within 8 minutes.
Figure 3: Percentage of red calls which received an emergency response at the scene within 8 minutes, October 2018 to October 2023 [Note 1]
Description of figure 3: A line chart showing that performance for emergency response calls trended downwards over the long-term. Performance remains below the target of 65%.
Source: Welsh Ambulance Services NHS Trust
[Note 1]: An update to call handling in May 2019 resulted in a change to red incident volume. It is not possible to directly compare before and after this date. Further details are available in the quality information.
Figure 4: Percentage of red calls which received an emergency response at the scene within 8 minutes, by Local Health Board, October 2023
Description of Figure 4: A bar chart showing that performance was below the target level for emergency response calls in all Local Health Boards.
Source: Welsh Ambulance Services NHS Trust
In October, 47.2% of emergency responses to immediately life threatening (red) calls arrived within 8 minutes of patient location and chief complaint being established. This was 1.5 percentage points lower than the previous month and the lowest since December 2022.
At a Local Health Board level, the highest proportion of red calls responded to within 8 minutes was seen in Cardiff and Vale (52.9%), and the lowest in Cwm Taf Morgannwg (39.8%).
The proportion of red calls responded to within 8 minutes has fallen in recent years from a peak of 80% in 2017, but over the same period there has been a significant increase in the number of red calls received. For example, in the latest twelve months there were around 50,000 red calls, more than twice as many as in 2017 (22,000). The overall increase in demand largely reflects two things; changes in how some calls are handled, as some calls that used to be categorised as amber are now categorised as red; and a large increase in respiratory conditions in the latest winter.
Other than demand, handover delays at hospitals can also affect performance, when ambulance crews are unable to respond to new calls while waiting to handover patients to emergency departments. There has been a significant increase in handover delays in recent years, with nearly five times as many hours lost in the latest twelve months compared with 2017. In October around 23,000 hours were lost due to handover delays. Further data on handover delays can be found on the Emergency Ambulance Services Committee’s (EASC) Ambulance Service Indicators dashboard.
The median response time in the four years prior to the pandemic ranged between 4 minutes 30 seconds and 6 minutes for red calls. In October, the average (median) response time to immediately life-threatening ‘red’ calls was 8 minutes 26 seconds. This was 15 seconds slower than previous month, and 8 seconds slower than October 2022.
The majority of calls to the ambulance service are categorised as ‘amber’ calls, for which there is no performance target for call response times. In October, the median response time for amber calls was 1 hour 29 minutes and 13 seconds. This was just over 5 minutes slower than in September but just over 19 minutes quicker than in October 2022.
Emergency department attendances and admissions to hospital
Last month’s release included a Chief Statistician’s Statement regarding recent media coverage of official statistics on emergency department waiting times. Local Health Boards have provided assurance that the data they submit to Digital Health and Care Wales is in line with the guidance. Patients subject to clinical exceptions are therefore included in the emergency department attendances in this report and previous reports.
A wider range of emergency department performance statistics are published on the National Collaborative Commissioning Unit (NCCU) website, as management information.
Activity
Figure 5: Average attendances in emergency departments, and admissions to hospital resulting from attendances at major emergency departments per day, October 2018 to October 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 5: A line chart showing attendances to emergency department, which are generally higher in the summer months than the winter, but otherwise remain relatively stable. There was a decrease in attendances during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Source: Emergency department data set, Digital Health and Care Wales
Number of attendances in NHS Wales emergency departments by age band, sex and site, on StatsWales
[Note 1]: Chart shows number of attendances at both major emergency departments and minor injuries units, and the number of admissions resulting from attending major emergency departments only.
In October there were just under 93,300 attendances to all emergency departments, an average of 3,009 attendances per day; this was 80 attendances less per day on average than in the previous month.
In October, just over 15,800 patients were admitted to the same or a different hospital following attendance at major emergency departments. This was 5.1% higher than the previous month, and 11.3% higher than the same month in 2022.
Performance
Targets
- 95% of new patients should spend less than 4 hours in emergency departments from arrival until admission, transfer or discharge.
- No patient waiting more than 12 hours in emergency departments from arrival until admission, transfer or discharge.
Figure 6: Percentage of patients admitted, transferred or discharged within 4 hours at emergency departments, October 2018 to October 2023
Description of Figure 6: A line chart showing the percentage of patients admitted, transferred or discharged within 4 hours at emergency departments fell during the coronavirus pandemic and has largely plateaued since late 2021.
Source: Emergency department data set, Digital Health and Care Wales
Performance against 4 hour target by hospital, on StatsWales
[Note 1]: Until September 2023 attendances at Same Day Emergency Care (SDEC) units were included in emergency department data for Cardiff and Vale. From October these were no longer included, and since they are more likely than other attendances to be relatively short, this may have had the effect of reducing the overall proportion of attendances admitted, transferred or discharged within four hours compared with previous figures.
Figure 7: Percentage of patients admitted, transferred or discharged within 4 hours at emergency departments, by Local Health Board, October 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 7: Bar chart showing performance was below the 4 hour performance target for emergency departments in all Local Health Boards.
Source: Emergency department data set, Digital Health and Care Wales
Performance against 4 hour target by hospital, on StatsWales
[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in the following StatsWales link.
[Note 2]: Until September 2023 attendances at Same Day Emergency Care (SDEC) units were included in emergency department data for Cardiff and Vale. From October these were no longer included, and since they are more likely than other attendances to be relatively short, this may have had the effect of reducing the overall proportion of attendances admitted, transferred or discharged within four hours compared with previous figures.
In October, 68.7% of patients in all NHS emergency departments spent less than 4 hours in the department from arrival until admission, transfer or discharge. This was 1.2 percentage points lower than the previous month, and remains relatively low in historical context.
Swansea Bay health board saw the highest proportion spending less than 4 hours in emergency departments (76.6%), and Cwm Taf Morgannwg saw the lowest (62.4%).
In 2019, the median time patients spent in emergency departments was around 2 hours and 30 minutes. During the early part of the pandemic, as attendances decreased the median time spent in the department decreased, to a low of 1 hours 47 minutes in April 2020. Since then, median times increased and reached a record high of 3 hours and 8 minutes in March 2022. In the latest data for October, the median waiting time was 2 hours and 49 minutes, over 5 minute slower than the previous month.
The median time spent in emergency department varies by age. Prior to the pandemic, children (aged 0 to 4) spent between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 2 hours in emergency departments, while older patients (aged 85 or greater) spent between 3 hours and 30 minutes and 5 hours.
In October, children (aged 0 to 4) spent an average of 2 hours and 13 minutes in emergency departments. Adults aged 85 and over spent an average of 6 hours and 28 minutes in emergency departments.
Figure 8: Patients waiting more than 12 hours to be admitted, transferred or discharged at NHS emergency departments, October 2018 to October 2023
Description of Figure 8: A line chart showing the number of patients waiting longer than 12 hours to be admitted, transferred or discharged at emergency departments, which fell sharply during the initial coronavirus period. Recently there has been a slight fall after a long term upward trend.
Source: Emergency department data set, Digital Health and Care Wales
Performance against the 12 hour target by hospital, on StatsWales
Figure 9: Patients waiting more than 12 hours to be admitted, transferred or discharged at NHS emergency departments, per 100,000 population, by Local Health Board, October 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 9: Bar chart showing in all Local Health Boards there were patients who waited longer than 12 hours.
Source: Emergency department data set, Digital Health and Care Wales
Performance against the 12 hour target by hospital, on StatsWales
[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in the following StatsWales link.
In October 9,934 patients waited 12 hours or more. This was 280 (2.9%) more than in the previous month. Adjusted by population, more patients waited longer than 12 hours in Cwm Taf Morgannwg (444) than in any other Local Health Board. The lowest figure was in Cardiff and Vale (173).
Scheduled care activity
New data relating to unscheduled care are provided for the month of September 2023. Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW) now publishes a secondary care dashboard which provides data on outpatients appointments, inpatient admissions and daycase activity undertaken in Wales.
Outpatient referrals and appointments
Activity
Figure 10: Average daily referrals for first outpatient appointment, September 2018 to September 2023
Description of Figure 10: A line chart showing outpatient referrals, which has been fluctuating with an upwards trend. Following a big drop in referrals in February 2020 due to the coronavirus pandemic, outpatient referrals have steadily risen back to pre-pandemic levels.
Source: Outpatient Referral Dataset, Digital Health and Care Wales
Referrals by local health board and month, on StatsWales
An average of 4,156 referrals for first outpatient appointments were made per day in September 2023. This is an increase of 1.1% (46 more referrals per day on average) compared to August 2023 and an increase of 3.8% compared to September 2022.
Performance
Targets
- No one waiting for longer than a year for their first outpatient appointment by the end of 2022 (a target established in the planned care recovery plan).
Figure 11: Pathways waiting more than a year for their first appointment, September 2018 to September 2023
Description of Figure 11: A line chart showing the number of patient pathways waiting longer than a year, which rapidly increased during the coronavirus pandemic but has been coming down over the last year.
Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales
COVID-19 recovery plan, ambitions for referral to treatment waiting times, on StatsWales
Figure 12: Pathways waiting more than a year for their first appointment per 100,000 population, by Local Health Board, September 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 12: A bar chart showing the number of patient pathways waiting longer than a year for a first outpatient appointment, adjusted by population size and was highest in Cwm Taf Morgannwg and lowest in Swansea Bay.
Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales
[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in the following StatsWales link.
COVID-19 recovery plan, ambitions for referral to treatment waiting times, on StatsWales
In September, the number of pathways waiting longer than one year for their first outpatient appointment decreased by 1.8% compared to the previous month to around 51,700. The planned care recovery plan target was not met, though there has been a fall of 49.7% since the peak in August 2022.
Among the Local Health Boards, the highest number of pathways waiting more than one year per 100,000 of the population was in Cwm Taf Morgannwg (2,838) and the lowest in Swansea Bay (43).
Diagnostic and therapy waiting times
Activity
Figure 13: Patient pathways waiting for diagnostic and therapy services, September 2018 to September 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 13: A line chart showing a long term upward trend in patient pathways waiting for diagnostic services, including a sharp increase in the start of the coronavirus pandemic, and the number of patient pathways waiting for therapy services which has also seen a long term upward trend.
Source: Diagnostic and therapy services waiting times, Digital Health and Care Wales
[Note 1]: The low point in April 2020 for therapies is in part due to Betsi Cadwaladr not submitting data for this month, please see the quality information for more information.
Diagnostic and Therapy Services Waiting Times by week, on StatsWales
In September there were just under 120,400 patient pathways waiting for diagnostics. This was an increase of 0.4% compared with the previous month and the highest figure on record. There were just over 70,100 patient pathways waiting for therapies, an increase of 0.3% compared to the previous month.
Performance
Targets
- The maximum wait for access to specified diagnostic tests is 8 weeks.
- The maximum wait for access to specified therapy services is 14 weeks.
- The planned care recovery plan established a target date of Spring 2024 to reach these targets.
Figure 14: Patient pathways waiting over the target time for diagnostic and therapy services, September 2018 to September 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 14: Line chart showing a big increase in patient pathways waiting longer than 8 weeks for diagnostic services at the start of the pandemic, before falling throughout 2020 and fluctuating since. The number of patient pathways waiting longer than 14 weeks for therapy services peaked in June 2020 and March 2022 and fluctuating since. Neither diagnostics or therapies are close to pre-pandemic levels.
Source: Diagnostic and therapy services waiting times, Digital Health and Care Wales
Diagnostic and Therapy Services Waiting Times by week, on StatsWales
Figure 15: Patient pathways (per 100k of the population) waiting over the target time for diagnostic tests and therapy services by Local Health Board, September 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 15: Bar charts showing all Local Health Boards have pathways waiting more than the target time for diagnostics and therapies.
Source: Diagnostic and therapy services waiting times, Digital Health and Care Wales
[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in the following StatsWales link.
Diagnostic and Therapy Services Waiting Times by week, on StatsWales
At the end of September, just under 51,300 patient pathways were waiting longer than the target time for diagnostics. This was an increase of 2.5% compared to the previous month.
At the end of September there were just under 11,000 patient pathways waiting longer than the target time for therapies. This was an increase of 13.1% compared to the previous month.
The highest number of diagnostic pathways waiting more than the target time per 100,000 population was in Cwm Taf Morgannwg (2,802) and the highest number of therapies was in Hywel Dda (838). The lowest number of diagnostic pathways waiting more than the target time per 100,000 population was in Aneurin Bevan (1,023) and the lowest number of therapies was in Swansea Bay (48).
Median waiting times had been relatively stable for diagnostic tests since 2017 (2.8 weeks on average) and for therapy services since 2018 (3.6 weeks on average). Median waiting times for both services peaked in 2020 (14.3 weeks for diagnostics and 14.9 weeks for therapies).
In September, the median waiting time for diagnostic tests was 6.3 weeks, the same as in the previous month. The median waiting time for therapy services was 5.8 weeks, compared to 5.7 weeks in the previous month.
Referral to treatment time
Referral to treatment time statistics show monthly data on waiting times for both open and closed pathways following a referral by a GP or other medical practitioner to hospital for treatment in the NHS. Open pathways are those that remain on the waiting list for treatment, whereas closed pathways are those taken off the waiting list.
Activity is measured by patient pathways, which differs to the number of patients. More information on this difference is available in the Welsh Government’s Chief Statisticians blog.
Also published is newly collected management information for the number of individual patients on treatment waiting lists in Wales.
Performance
Targets
- No patients waiting longer than two years in most specialities by March 2023, and no patients waiting longer than one year in most specialities by Spring 2025 (new targets established in the planned care recovery plan).
- 95% of patients waiting less than 26 weeks from referral.
- No patients waiting more than 36 weeks for treatment from referral.
Figure 16: Patient pathways waiting to start treatment, September 2018 to September 2023
Description of Figure 16: Line chart showing that since the coronavirus pandemic the number waiting has increased significantly. The number of patient pathways waiting longer than one year and two years both saw a rise due to the coronavirus pandemic, but numbers are now falling.
Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales
Figure 17: Patient pathways waiting to start treatment, per 100,000 population, by Local Health Board, September 2023 (total waiting) [Note 1]
Description of Figure 17: Bar chart showing that, adjusted by population, Aneurin Bevan has the fewest pathways waiting to start treatment and Cardiff and Vale has the most.
Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales
[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in the following StatsWales link.
Figure 18: Patient pathways waiting to start treatment, per 100,000 population, by Local Health Board, September 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 18: Bar charts showing that, adjusted by population, Aneurin Bevan has the fewest pathways waiting more than one or two years. Cwm Taf Morgannwg has the most pathways waiting longer than one year and Betsi Cadwaladr has the most pathways waiting longer than two years.
Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales
[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in the following StatsWales link.
In September there were just over 761,100 patient pathways waiting to start treatment. This was an increase of just under 830 pathways from August, the highest figure on record and 67.7% higher than May 2020.
Headline measures for open pathways across the UK are not comparable. There are large differences in coverage between Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland statistics, meaning they should not be compared at all. With England, current understanding suggests a broadly comparable number can be produced for Wales by removing some known non-consultant led pathways which are not counted in England. On that basis, there are around 675,000 open pathways on consultant-led pathways in Wales, equivalent to 22 pathways (not patients) for every 100 people. For England, the figure in September was 14 pathways for every 100 people. These comparisons are explored further in this Chief Statistician’s blog.
Of the total 761,100 pathways about 133,500 were waiting more than one year in August. This number was 0.7% lower than last month. Just over 26,400 were waiting more than two years. This number continues to decrease each month and is 62.5% lower than the peak in March 2022.
Adjusted by population, Cardiff and Vale had highest number of pathways waiting (27,677 per 100,000). The most waiting more than one year was in Cwm Taf Morgannwg (5,358) and the most waiting more than two years was in Betsi Cadwaladr(1,222). Aneurin Bevan had the lowest numbers waiting overall (22,907), more than one year (3,571) and more than two years (633).
The planned care recovery plan established a target to eliminate two year waits in most specialties by March 2023. This is assessed on the basis that ‘most’ refers to all specialties excluding seven recognised as exceptionally challenging, with large numbers waiting even prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. These are Dermatology, General Surgery, Ophthalmology, Urology, Gynaecology, Orthopaedics and Ear, Nose and Throat. The target was not met in March, and in September there were still a further 14 specialties with pathways waiting more than two years accounting for 3,300 pathways, a decrease of 38 compared to last month.
The number of patient pathways is not the same as the number of individual patients, because some people have multiple open pathways.
We do not have official statistics on the number of individual patients waiting to start treatment. However, management information suggests that in September, when the National Statistics (above) reported there were just over 761,100 open patient pathways, there were estimated to be about 594,000 individual patients on treatment waiting lists in Wales. This was an increase of around 1,100 from August and is the highest figure on record.
Unlike the National Statistics elsewhere in this release, which have been independently assessed against the Code of Practice for statistics, this estimate is based on management information. Whilst the principles of the Code of Practice have been applied, quality assurance is not to the level of the National Statistics. Work is ongoing to further understand the strengths and limitations of this data and this will be communicated as we learn more. For these reasons there is greater uncertainty around this estimate than with the other figures in this release. However, the level of public interest in understanding the number of patients in addition to the number of patient pathways adds sufficient value to warrant making this available.
Figure 19: Percentage of patient pathways waiting less than 26 weeks, September 2018 to September 2023
Description of Figure 19: Line chart showing that during the coronavirus pandemic the percentage of patient pathways waiting less than 26 weeks decreased sharply, and performance has since stabilized between 50 to 60%.
Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales
Figure 20: Percentage of patient pathways waiting less than 26 weeks, per 100,000 population, by Local Health Board, September 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 20: Bar chart showing performance in all Local Health Boards is lower than the target of 95%.
Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales
[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in the following StatsWales link.
Of the just over 761,100 patient pathways waiting to start treatment, by the end of September, 58% had been waiting less than 26 weeks. This was 0.9 percentage points lower than the previous month and 23.8 percentage points lower than March 2020. The highest proportion waiting less than 26 weeks was in Hywel Dda health board (62.6%) and the lowest was in Cwm Taf Morgannwg (53.5%).
Figure 21: Patient pathways waiting more than 36 weeks, by month and weeks waited, September 2018 to September 2023
Description of Figure 21: Line chart showing the number of patient pathways waiting more than 36 weeks, which increased rapidly during the coronavirus pandemic. Throughout 2022 the number increased, though at a slower rate, but it has since fallen.
Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales
Percentage of patient pathways waiting to start treatment within target time by month and grouped weeks, on StatsWales
Figure 22: Patient pathways waiting more than 36 weeks, per 100,000 population, by Local Health Board, September 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 22: Bar chart showing the number of patient pathways waiting more than 36 weeks, adjusted by population size, was highest in Cwm Taf Morgannwg and lowest in Aneurin Bevan.
Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales
[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in the following StatsWales link.
In September, just over 229,150 patient pathways had been waiting more than 36 weeks. This represented 30.1% of all patient pathways waiting to start treatment. This was 4,864 (or 2.1%) less than in the previous month, but still high in historical context. The highest number of pathways waiting more than 36 weeks per 100,000 population was in Cwm Taf Morgannwg (8,789), and the lowest was in Aneurin Bevan (6,295).
The median time waiting to start treatment had generally been around 10 weeks pre pandemic between late 2013 and February 2020. This increased during the pandemic and peaked at a record high of 29 weeks in October 2020. In September, the median waiting time was 19.9 weeks, which was 0.2 weeks longer than the previous month.
Figure 23: Closed patient pathways, September 2018 to September 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 23: Line chart showing the number of patient pathways closed, which generally fluctuates. After a big decrease in March 2020 due to the coronavirus pandemic, the number of closed pathways has steadily risen to pre-pandemic levels.
Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales
[Note 1]: Data revised to now include Cwm Taf Morgannwg health board closed pathways. Up to the July 2022 statistical release, the data series was not available for Cwm Tag Morgannwg. More details are available in the quality information.
Closed patient pathways by month, local health board and weeks waiting, on StatsWales
The number of patient pathways closed in September was 107,604. This was an average of 5,124 patient pathways closed per working day. This was an increase of 293 patient pathways (or 6.1%) closed per working day from the the following month.
Cancer services
A number of wider measures from the suspected cancer pathway are produced by Digital Health and Care Wales are published alongside this statistical release.
Activity
Figure 24: Closed suspected cancer pathways in the month, by month and outcome, September 2020 to September 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 24: Line chart showing the number of patient pathways informed they do not have cancer, which fluctuates but generally showing an upwards trend, and the number of patient pathways starting their first definitive treatment, which has been relatively stable since recording began.
Source: Suspected Cancer Pathway, Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW)
[Note 1]: New suspected cancer pathway data collection was introduced in December 2020.
Suspected cancer pathway (closed pathways), on StatsWales
In September 1,706 pathways where the patient was newly diagnosed with cancer started their first definitive treatment in the month. This was a decrease of 3.3% compared to the previous month.
13,990 pathways were closed following the patient being informed they did not have cancer. This is an increase of 1.2% compared to the previous month.
In September, 15,952 patient pathways were opened in the month following a new suspicion of cancer. This was a decrease of 485 (3.0%) on the previous month but an increase of 0.3% compared to September 2022.
Performance
Target
- At least 75% of patients should start treatment within 62 days (without suspensions) of first being suspected of cancer. Data published for time periods before December 2020 are not subject to the target.
- The planned care recovery plan established a new target of 80%, to be reached by 2026.
Figure 25: Percentage of pathways where the patient started their first definitive treatment within the target time, September 2020 to September 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 25: Line chart showing the percentage of patient pathways that started their first definitive treatment within 62 days of first being suspected of cancer and the 75% performance target. Performance fluctuates, but there is a general downwards trend in recent years.
Source: Suspected Cancer Pathway, Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW)
[Note 1]: New suspected cancer pathway data collection was introduced in December 2020, with a performance target of 75%. The planned care recovery plan established a new target of 80%, to be reached by 2026.
Suspected cancer pathway (closed pathways), on StatsWales
Figure 26: Percentage of pathways where the patient started their first definitive treatment within the target time, by Local Health Board, September 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 26: Bar chart showing performance in all Local Health Boards was below the target level of 75%.
Source: Suspected Cancer Pathway, Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW)
[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this analysis because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys are available on StatsWales.
Suspected cancer pathway (closed pathways), on StatsWales
In September, 52.9% (902 out of 1,706) of pathways started their first definitive treatment within 62 days of first being suspected of cancer. This was 4.4 percentage points lower than the previous month, 2.4 percentage points lower than September 2022 and the second lowest on record.
The highest proportion of pathways starting their first definitive treatment within 62 days was in Betsi Cadwaladr (57.7%) and the lowest was in Hywel Dda (46.1%).
Quality and methodology information
All quality and methodology information in relation to this statistical release can be found in the NHS activity and performance summary: quality report
Well-being of Future Generations Act (WFG)
The Well-being of Future Generations Act 2015 is about improving the social, economic, environmental and cultural wellbeing of Wales. The Act puts in place seven wellbeing goals for Wales. These are for a more equal, prosperous, resilient, healthier and globally responsible Wales, with cohesive communities and a vibrant culture and thriving Welsh language. Under section (10)(1) of the Act, the Welsh Ministers must (a) publish indicators (“national indicators”) that must be applied for the purpose of measuring progress towards the achievement of the wellbeing goals, and (b) lay a copy of the national indicators before Senedd Cymru. Under section 10(8) of the Well-being of Future Generations Act, where the Welsh Ministers revise the national indicators, they must as soon as reasonably practicable (a) publish the indicators as revised and (b) lay a copy of them before the Senedd. These national indicators were laid before the Senedd in 2021. The indicators laid on 14 December 2021 replace the set laid on 16 March 2016.
Information on the indicators, along with narratives for each of the wellbeing goals and associated technical information is available in the Wellbeing of Wales report.
Further information on the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015.
The statistics included in this release could also provide supporting narrative to the national indicators and be used by public services boards in relation to their local wellbeing assessments and local wellbeing plans.
We want your feedback
We welcome any feedback on any aspect of these statistics which can be provided by email to stats.healthinfo@gov.wales.
Next update
21 December 2023
