NHS activity and performance summary: January and February 2023
Report summarising data on activity and performance in the Welsh NHS for January and February 2023.
This file may not be fully accessible.
In this page
Introduction
Industrial action taken by ambulance services staff may have had an impact on the statistics presented in this report.
In light of the impact COVID-19 has had on NHS activity and performance levels, the Welsh Government has published its programme for transforming and modernising planned care and reducing waiting lists in Wales. This plan sets out a number of key ambitions to reduce waiting times for people in Wales. We have incorporated these measurements of performance against these ambitions into this statistical release and on StatsWales.
Data provided in this statistical report has been provided by Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW) unless stated otherwise. Data for each topic area is also available in more detail on our StatsWales website.
Main points
In February 67,641 calls were made to the 111 helpline service, the lowest number of calls since the series began in April 2022. Of these, about 54,000 calls were answered (80%). There were also about 357,000 hits on the NHS 111 Wales website and around 12,750 completed symptom checks (NHS 111 Wales).
In February there were 3,691 red (life threatening) calls to the ambulance service, 12.5% of all calls. An average of 132 immediately life-threatening calls were made each day, comparable to January levels.
50.9% of red calls received an emergency response within eight minutes, this was 2.0 percentage points higher than January. In February performance was at levels seen throughout 2022, after the lowest figure on record in December 2022. Data for red calls are only comparable from May 2019 onwards.
There was an average of 2,780 daily attendances to emergency departments, an increase compared to the previous month. Performance improved against the four hour and twelve hour targets, the best performance since Summer 2021 respectively. The average (median) time spent in emergency departments was similar in February compared to the previous month at two hours and thirty seven minutes.
The pandemic has caused a large increase in patient pathways waiting to start treatment. In January the number fell slightly, from around 735,000 to around 734,000, a fourth consecutive decrease following consistent increases from April 2020. The number of patient pathways is not the same as the number of individual patients, because some people have multiple open pathways. More information is available in the Welsh Government’s chief statistician’s Chief Statistician’s blog.
New management information suggests that in January 2023, when there were about 734,000 open patient pathways, there were about 576,000 individual patients on treatment waiting lists in Wales. This was the fourth consecutive monthly fall, a decrease of over 1,800 patients from December 2022.
The proportion of patient pathways waiting less than 26 weeks increased slightly to 55.7% in January. This has been relatively stable for some time after falling significantly from the levels pre-pandemic. The number of pathways waiting longer than 36 weeks decreased for the fifth consecutive month in January, to just over 244,600, but remains high in historical context.
About 41,100 pathways were waiting more than two years, 42% lower than the peak, following a tenth consecutive monthly fall after a consistent increase over the previous year. The average (median) time patient pathways had been waiting for treatment at the end of January decreased slightly on the previous month to 21.4 weeks.
The number of pathways waiting longer than one year for their first outpatient appointment decreased to around 68,000. The planned care recovery target has not been met, despite a reduction of 34% from the peak reached in August 2022.
For diagnostic services, the number of patient pathways waiting increased slightly to about 112,500 in January. The number of patient pathways waiting longer than eight weeks (the target maximum wait) increased to just under 48,000, in January.
For therapies, the number of patient pathways waiting decreased to about 58,500 in January but remains high in historical context. The number waiting longer than fourteen weeks (the target maximum wait) decreased to about 8,000, falling for the tenth consecutive month.
For cancer services, more people started their first definitive treatment in January (1,760) than the previous month. The number of pathways closed following the patient being informed they did not have cancer increased from the previous month to (13,429). Performance decreased against the 62 day target in January to 50.1% compared to 52.9% the previous month, and is the lowest on record.
Unscheduled care
New data relating to unscheduled care are provided for the month of February 2023.
Industrial action taken by some ambulance services staff in February may have had an impact on the statistics for unscheduled care presented in this report.
Calls to 111 service
In February, a total of 67,641 calls were made to the 111 helpline service, the lowest number of calls since the series began in April 2022. Of these, about 54,000 (80%) calls were answered by the 111 service in Wales, an average of over 1,900 calls per day.
An estimated 13,538 (20%) calls were ended by the caller before being answered. Of these, 3,984 were ended within 60 seconds of the automated messages, suggesting their needs were likely to have been met.
Just over 9,500 calls were abandoned after 60 seconds and these are regarded as callers who were more likely to have still required the service after the messages but were unable to get through or decided not to wait. This number has fallen back to levels of prior months after a peak in December 2022, at more than 4 times higher than the previous peak in July 2022.
Of the calls answered, 1,045 calls indicated that they wished to conduct the call in Welsh.
There were about 357,000 hits on the NHS 111 Wales website and about 12,750 completed symptom checks (NHS 111 Wales) in February.
More data is published on StatsWales.
Emergency calls to the ambulance service
A wider range of ambulance quality indicators are published on the Emergency Ambulance Services Committee (EASC) website and on StatsWales.
Activity
Figure 1: Average daily emergency ambulance calls, by call type and month, February 2018 to February 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 1: A line chart showing the number of emergency calls received by the Welsh Ambulance Services NHS Trust fell during the COVID-19 pandemic but has since returned to a pre covid level.
Source: Welsh Ambulance Services NHS Trust (WAST)
Emergency ambulance calls and responses to red calls, by local health board and month on StatsWales
[Note 1] An update to call handling in May 2019 resulted in a change to red incident volume. It is not possible to directly compare before and after this date. Further details are available in the quality information.
In February, almost 29,500 emergency calls were made to the ambulance service. This was an average of 1,052 calls per day, an increase of 51 (5.1%) calls on average per day compared with the previous month, but 176 (14.3%) fewer calls on average per day than the same month last year. The total number of calls in February was the second lowest since comparable records began.
Calls to the ambulance service are categorised as red (immediately life-threatening), amber (serious but not life-threatening) or green (non-urgent). An average of 132 red calls were made per day in February, comparable with the previous month and the fifth highest number of daily red calls on record.
In February, the proportion of all calls that were immediately life-threatening was 12.5%, down from 13.1% in January, but remaining high in historical context.
Performance
Target
- 65% of red calls (immediately life-threatening – someone is in imminent danger of death, such as a cardiac arrest) to have a response within 8 minutes.
Figure 2: Percentage of red calls which received an emergency response at the scene within 8 minutes of patient location and chief complaint being established, February 2018 to February 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 2: A line chart showing that performance for emergency response calls improved during the initial coronavirus period but has otherwise trended downwards over the long term.
Source: Welsh Ambulance Services NHS Trust (WAST)
[Note 1] An update to call handling in May 2019 resulted in a change to red incident volume. It is not possible to directly compare before and after this date. Further details are available in the quality information.
In February, 50.9% of emergency responses to immediately life threatening (red) calls arrived within 8 minutes of patient location and chief complaint being established. This was 2.0 percentage points higher than the previous month, but 4.1 percentage points lower than in February 2022. In recent years the proportion of red calls responded to within 8 minutes has fallen fairly consistently. It is important to note that over the same period there has been a significant increase in the volume of red calls received. In 2022 around 70% more red calls were received than in 2020 and 2019.
The median response time in the four years prior to the pandemic ranged between 4 minutes 30 seconds and 6 minutes for red calls. In February, the average (median) response time to immediately life-threatening ‘red’ calls was 7 minutes 54 seconds. This was 17 seconds faster than previous month, but 31 seconds slower than February 2022
The majority of calls to the ambulance service are categorised as ‘amber’ calls, for which there is no performance target for call response times. In February, the median response time for amber calls was 59 minutes and 30 seconds. This was about 6 minutes faster than in January and almost 18 minutes faster than in February 2022.
Emergency department attendances and admissions to hospital
A wider range of emergency department performance statistics are published on the National Collaborative Commissioning Unit (NCCU) website, as management information.
Activity
Figure 3: Average attendances in NHS Wales accident and emergency departments, and admissions to hospital resulting from attendances at major emergency departments per day, February 2018 to February 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 3: A line chart showing attendances to emergency department, which are generally higher in the summer months than the winter, but otherwise remain relatively stable. There was a decrease in attendances due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Source: Emergency department data set (EDDS), Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW)
Number of attendances in NHS Wales emergency departments by age band, sex and site on StatsWales
[Note 1]: Chart shows number of attendances at both major emergency departments and minor injuries units, and the number of admissions resulting from attending major emergency departments only.
In February there were about 77,800 attendances to all emergency departments. This was an average of 2,780 emergency department attendances per day; 265 attendances more per day on average than in the previous month.
In February, over 13,500 patients were admitted to the same or a different hospital following attendance at a major emergency department. This was 4.9% lower than the previous month but 6.4% higher than the same month in 2022.
Performance
Targets
- 95% of new patients should spend less than 4 hours in emergency departments from arrival until admission, transfer or discharge.
- No patient waiting more than 12 hours in emergency departments from arrival until admission, transfer or discharge.
Figure 4: Percentage of patients admitted, transferred or discharged within 4 hours at NHS emergency departments, February 2018 to February 2023
Description of Figure 4: A line chart showing the percentage of patients admitted, transferred or discharged within 4 hours at emergency departments fell during the coronavirus pandemic and has not recovered to pre-pandemic levels.
Source: Emergency department data set (EDDS), Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW)
Performance against 4 hour target by hospital on StatsWales
In February, 71.6% of patients in all NHS emergency departments spent less than 4 hours in the department from arrival until admission, transfer or discharge. This was 1.7 percentage points higher than the previous month, and the highest since June 2021, but remaining low in historical context.
In 2019, the median time patients spent in emergency departments was around 2 hours and 30 minutes. During the early part of the pandemic, as attendances decreased the median time spent in the department decreased, to a low of 1 hours 47 minutes in April 2020. Since then, median times increased and reached a record high of 3 hours and 8 minutes in March 2022. In the latest data for February, the median waiting time was 2 hours and 37 minutes, 2 minutes slower than the previous month.
The median time spent in emergency department varies by age. Prior to the pandemic, children (aged 0 to 4) spent between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 2 hours in emergency departments, while older patients (aged 85 or greater) spent between 3 hours and 30 minutes and 5 hours.
In February, children (aged 0 to 4) spent an average of 2 hours and 2 minutes. Adults aged 85 and over spent an average of 5 hours and 21 minutes in emergency departments.
Figure 5: Patients waiting more than 12 hours to be admitted, transferred or discharged at NHS emergency departments February 2018 to February 2023
Description of Figure 5: A line chart showing the number of patients waiting longer than 12 hours to be admitted, transferred or discharged at emergency departments, which fell sharply during the initial coronavirus period but has otherwise trended upwards over the long term.
Source: Emergency department data set (EDDS), Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW)
Performance against the 12 hour target by hospital on StatsWales
In February there were 8,036 patients waiting 12 hours or more. This was 961 (10.7%) fewer than in the previous month, and the best since July 2021.
Scheduled care activity
New data relating to unscheduled care are provided for the month of January 2023.
Industrial action taken by nursing staff may have had an impact on the scheduled care statistics presented in this report.
Outpatient referrals and appointments
Activity
Figure 6: Average daily referrals for first outpatient appointment, January 2018 to January 2023
Description of Figure 6: A line chart showing outpatient referrals, which has been fluctuating with an upwards trend following a big drop in referrals in February 2020 due to the coronavirus pandemic.
Source: Outpatient Referral Dataset, Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW)
Outpatient referrals on StatsWales
An average of 3,851 referrals for first outpatient appointments were made per day in January 2023. This is an increase of 22.0% (694 more referrals per day on average) compared to December 2022 and 20.3% compared to January 2022.
Performance
Targets
- No one waiting for longer than a year for their first outpatient appointment by the end of 2022 (a target established in the planned care recovery plan).
Figure 7: Pathways waiting more than a year for their first appointment, January 2018 to January 2023
Description of figure 7: A line chart showing the number of patient pathways waiting longer than a year, which rapidly increased during the coronavirus pandemic but has been coming down in recent months.
Source: Referral to treatment times (RTT), Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW) (Referral to treatment on StatsWales)
In January, the number of pathways waiting longer than one year for their first outpatient appointment decreased by 9.8% compared to the previous month to around 68,000.
The planned care recovery plan target has not been met, though has fallen by 34% from the peak reached in August 2022.
Diagnostic and therapy waiting times
Activity
Figure 8: Patient pathways waiting for diagnostic and therapy services, January 2018 to January 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 8: A line chart showing a long term upward trend in patients waiting for diagnostic services, including a sharp increase in the start of the coronavirus pandemic. The number of patient pathways waiting for therapy services has been increasing since the start of 2021.
Source: Diagnostic and Therapy Services (DATS), Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW)
Diagnostic and Therapy Services Waiting Times by week on StatsWales
[Note 1] The low point in April 2020 for therapies is in part due to Betsi Cadwaladr not submitting data for this month, please see the quality information.
In January there were around 112,500 patient pathways waiting for diagnostics, a slight increase of 0.7% compared with the previous month. There were around 58,500 patient pathways waiting for therapies, a decrease of 4.5% compared to the previous month, remaining high in historical context, but starting to fall in recent months.
Performance
Targets
- The maximum wait for access to specified diagnostic tests is 8 weeks.
- The maximum wait for access to specified therapy services is 14 weeks.
- The planned care recovery plan established a target date of Spring 2024 to reach these targets.
Figure 9: Patient pathways waiting over the target time for diagnostic and therapy services, January 2018 to January 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 9: Line chart a big increase in patients waiting longer than 8 weeks for diagnostic services at the start of the coronavirus pandemic, the number of patient pathways waiting has been slowly coming down. The number of patient pathways waiting longer than 14 weeks for therapy services peaked in June 2020 and March 2022, but has been falling since, but neither are close to pre-pandemic levels.
Source: Diagnostic and Therapy Services (DATS), Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW)
Diagnostic and Therapy Services Waiting Times by week on StatsWales
[Note 1]: Betsi Cadwaladr did not submit data for April 2020, so are not included in the Wales figures for this month.
At the end of January, just under 48,000 patient pathways were waiting longer than the target time for diagnostics. This was an increase of 1.5% compared to the previous month.
At the end of January there were about 8,000 patient pathways waiting longer than the target time for therapies. This was a decrease of 13.4% compared to the previous month and a 46% fall from the peak in March 2022.
Median waiting times had been relatively stable for diagnostic tests since 2017 (2.8 weeks on average) and for therapy services since 2018 (3.6 weeks on average). Median waiting times for both services peaked in 2020 (14.3 weeks for diagnostics and 14.9 weeks for therapies).
In January, the median waiting time for diagnostic tests was 6.3 weeks, compared to 6.4 weeks in the previous month. The median waiting time for therapy services was 5.2 weeks, compared to 6.2 weeks in the previous month.
Referral to treatment time
Referral to treatment time statistics show monthly data on waiting times for both open and closed pathways following a referral by a GP or other medical practitioner to hospital for treatment in the NHS. Open pathways are those that remain on the waiting list for treatment, whereas closed pathways are those taken off the waiting list.
Activity is measured by patient pathways, which differs to the number of patients. More information on this difference is available in the Welsh Government’s Chief Statisticians blog.
Also published is newly collected management information for the number of individual patients on treatment waiting lists in Wales.
Performance
Targets
- No patients waiting longer than two years in most specialities by March 2023, and no patients waiting longer than one year in most specialities by Spring 2025 (new targets established in the planned care recovery plan).
- 95% of patients waiting less than 26 weeks from referral.
- No patients waiting more than 36 weeks for treatment from referral.
Figure 10: Pathways waiting to start treatment, January 2018 to January 2023
Description of Figure 10: Line chart showing that since the coronavirus pandemic the number waiting has increased significantly but has recently started to fall. The number of patients waiting longer than one year and two years both saw a rise due to the coronavirus pandemic, but numbers are now falling.
Source: Referral to treatment times (RTT), Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW)
In January there were over 734,000 patient pathways waiting to start treatment. This was the fourth consecutive monthly fall, down 0.1% from over 735,000 in December, high in historical context and 58.4% higher than February 2020. Waiting lists statistics are not directly comparable across the four nations of the UK (Chief Statistician's blog).
Over 152,000 pathways were waiting more than one year in January. This number has fallen for the fifth consecutive month, after being relatively stable since spring 2021. About 41,100 pathways were waiting more than two years, 42% lower than the peak, following a tenth consecutive monthly fall after a consistent increase over 2021.
The number of patient pathways is not the same as the number of individual patients, because some people have multiple open pathways.
We do not have official statistics on the number of individual patients waiting to start treatment. However, newly collected management information suggests that in November, when the National Statistics (above) reported there were over 734,000 open patient pathways, there were estimated to be 575,600 individual patients on treatment waiting lists in Wales. This was the fourth consecutive monthly fall, a decrease of over 1,800 patients from December 2022.
Unlike the National Statistics elsewhere in this release, which have been independently assessed against the Code of Practice for statistics, this estimate is based on newly collected management information. Whilst the principles of the Code of Practice have been applied, quality assurance is not to the level of the National Statistics. Work is ongoing to further understand the strengths and limitations of this data and this will be communicated as we learn more. For these reasons there is greater uncertainty around this estimate than with the other figures in this release. However, the level of public interest in understanding the number of patients in addition to the number of patient pathways adds sufficient value to warrant making this available.
Figure 11: Percentage of patient pathways waiting less than 26 weeks, by month and weeks waited, January 2018 to January 2023
Description of Figure 11: Line chart showing that during the coronavirus pandemic the percentage of patients waiting less than 26 weeks decreased sharply, and performance has since stabilized between 50 to 60%.
Source: Referral to treatment times (RTT), Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW) (Percentage of patient pathways waiting to start treatment within target time by month and grouped weeks on StatsWales)
Of the over 734,000 patient pathways waiting to start treatment, by the end of December, 55.7% had been waiting less than 26 weeks. This was 0.4 percentage points higher than in the previous month and 28.6 percentage points lower than February 2020.
Figure 12: Patient pathways waiting more than 36 weeks, by month and weeks waited, January 2018 to January 2023
Description of Figure 12: Line chart showing the number of patient pathways waiting more than 36 weeks, which increased rapidly during the coronavirus pandemic. Throughout 2022 the number was still increasing, though at a slower rate.
Source: Referral to treatment times (RTT), Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW)
In January, just over 244,600 patient pathways had been waiting more than 36 weeks. This represented 33.3% of all patient pathways waiting to start treatment. This was 3,480 (or 1.4%) fewer than in the previous month, high in historical context, but the lowest since November 2021.
The median time waiting to start treatment had generally been around 10 weeks pre pandemic between late 2013 and February 2020. This increased during the pandemic and peaked at a record high of 29 weeks in October 2020. In January, the median waiting time was 21.4 weeks, which was an decrease from 22.0 weeks in the previous month.
Figure 13: Closed patient pathways, January 2018 to January 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 13: Line chart showing the number of patient pathways closed, which generally fluctuates. After a big decrease in March 2020 due to the coronavirus pandemic, the number of closed pathways has steadily risen to pre-pandemic levels.
Source: Referral to treatment times (RTT), Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW)
Closed patient pathways by month, local health board and weeks waiting on StatsWales
[Note 1] Data revised to now include Cwm Taf Morgannwg health board closed pathways. Up to the July 2022 statistical release, the data series was not available for Cwm Tag Morgannwg. More details are available in the quality information.
The number of patient pathways closed in January was 107,712. This was an average of 5,129 patient pathways closed per working day. This was an increase from the previous month.
Cancer services
These statistics were previously labelled as experimental (ONS). Following a review of methods, we removed the experimental label in November 2022, and the Office for Statistics Regulation (OSR) has subsequently agreed that the statistics meet the standards required for designation as National Statistics (OSR).
A number of wider measures from the suspected cancer pathway are produced by Digital Health and Care Wales are published alongside this statistical release.
Activity
Figure 14: Closed suspected cancer pathways in the month, by month and outcome, January 2020 to January 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 14: Line chart showing the number of patients informed they do not have cancer, which fluctuates but generally showing an upwards trend, and the number of patients starting their first definitive treatment, which has been stable since recording began.
Source: Suspected Cancer Pathway, Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW) and National Data Resource (NDR)
Suspected cancer pathway (closed pathways) on StatsWales
[Note 1]: New suspected cancer pathway data collection was introduced in December 2020.
In January 1,760 pathways where the patient was newly diagnosed with cancer started their first definitive treatment in the month. This was an increase of 15.8% compared to the previous month.
13,429 pathways were closed following the patient being informed they did not have cancer. This is an increase of 17.5% compared to the previous month. In January, 15,903 patient pathways were opened in the month following a new suspicion of cancer. This was an increase of 4,061 (34.3%) on the previous month and an increase of 16.4% compared to January 2022.
Performance
Target
- At least 75% of patients should start treatment within 62 days (without suspensions) of first being suspected of cancer. Data published for time periods before December 2020 are not subject to the target.
- The planned care recovery plan established a new target of 80%, to be reached by 2026.
Figure 15: Percentage of pathways where the patient started their first definitive treatment within the target time, January 2020 to January 2023 [Note 1]
Description of Figure 15: Line chart showing the percentage of patients that started their first definitive treatment within 62 days of first being suspected of cancer and the 80% performance target. Performance fluctuates, but there is a general downwards trend in recent years.
Source: Suspected Cancer Pathway, Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW) and National Data Resource (NDR)
Suspected cancer pathway (closed pathways) on StatsWales
[Note 1]: New suspected cancer pathway data collection was introduced in December 2020, with a performance target of 75%. This target was updated to 80% in April 2022 as part of the planned care recovery plan.
In January, 50.1% (881 out of 1,760) of pathways started their first definitive treatment within 62 days of first being suspected of cancer. This was 2.8 percentage points lower than the previous month, 3.6 percentage points lower than January 2022 and the lowest on record.
Quality and methodology information
All quality and methodology information in relation to this statistical release can be found in the NHS activity and performance summary: quality report
Well-being of Future Generations Act (WFG)
The Well-being of Future Generations Act 2015 is about improving the social, economic, environmental and cultural wellbeing of Wales. The Act puts in place seven wellbeing goals for Wales. These are for a more equal, prosperous, resilient, healthier and globally responsible Wales, with cohesive communities and a vibrant culture and thriving Welsh language. Under section (10)(1) of the Act, the Welsh Ministers must (a) publish indicators (“national indicators”) that must be applied for the purpose of measuring progress towards the achievement of the wellbeing goals, and (b) lay a copy of the national indicators before Senedd Cymru. Under section 10(8) of the Well-being of Future Generations Act, where the Welsh Ministers revise the national indicators, they must as soon as reasonably practicable (a) publish the indicators as revised and (b) lay a copy of them before the Senedd. These national indicators were laid before the Senedd in 2021. The indicators laid on 14 December 2021 replace the set laid on 16 March 2016.
Information on the indicators, along with narratives for each of the wellbeing goals and associated technical information is available in the Wellbeing of Wales report.
Further information on the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015.
The statistics included in this release could also provide supporting narrative to the national indicators and be used by public services boards in relation to their local wellbeing assessments and local wellbeing plans.
We want your feedback
We welcome any feedback on any aspect of these statistics which can be provided by email to stats.healthinfo@gov.wales.
Next update
20 April 2023
