Labour Market Overview: April 2024

Monthly data on employment, unemployment and economic inactivity.

Headline labour market indicators, 3 months to February 2024

This headline provides a summary of the latest key statistics relating to the Welsh labour market, and includes data from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and experimental statistics from HMRC’s Pay As You Earn Real Time Information.

Employment rate

Figure 1: Employment rate, 3 months to February 2014 to the 3 months to February 2024

Description of Figure 1: Line chart showing the employment rate in the UK has generally been higher than in Wales over the last 10 years.

Source: Welsh Government analysis of Labour Force Survey

Wales

The employment rate in Wales was 69.1%. This is down 2.3 percentage points on the quarter and down 2.8 percentage points on the year.

UK

The UK employment rate was 74.5%. This is down 0.5 percentage points on the quarter and down 0.8 percentage points on the year.

Unemployment rate

Figure 2: Unemployment rate, 3 months to February 2014 to the 3 months to February 2024

Description of Figure 2: Line chart showing the unemployment rate has decreased overall in both Wales and the UK over the last 10 years.

Source: Welsh Government analysis of Labour Force Survey

Wales

The unemployment rate in Wales was 3.7%. This is up 0.5 percentage points on the quarter and up 0.3 percentage points on the year.

UK

The UK unemployment rate was 4.2%. This is up 0.3 percentage points on the quarter and up 0.3 percentage points on the year.

Economic inactivity rate

Figure 3: Economic inactivity rate, 3 months to February 2014 to the 3 months to February 2024

Description of Figure 3: Line chart showing the economic inactivity rate has generally decreased in the UK over the last 10 years but has seen an overall increase since early 2020. In Wales, the rate has fluctuated over this time but generally remains above the UK rate.

Source: Welsh Government analysis of Labour Force Survey

Wales

The economic inactivity rate in Wales was 28.1%. This is up 1.9 percentage points on the quarter and up 2.7 percentage points on the year.

UK

The UK economic inactivity rate was 22.2%. This is up 0.3 percentage points on the quarter and up 0.6 percentage points on the year.

Monthly paid employees and earnings from Pay As You Earn Real Time Information

The Office for National Statistics and HM Revenue & Customs publish data for Wales on payrolled employees, mean pay, aggregate pay and single month estimates for median pay.

Paid Employees

Figure 4: Payrolled Employees, Wales, March 2019 to March 2024

Description of Figure 4: A line chart showing the trend in the number of paid employees over the past few years has been generally increasing despite a steep decrease between March 2020 and July 2020.

Source: Welsh Government analysis of Pay As You Earn Real Time Information, Office for National Statistics and HMRC

Early estimates for March 2024 indicate that the number of paid employees in Wales was unchanged over the month at 1.32 million.

At a UK level, early estimates for March 2024 showed a monthly decrease of 66,700 (0.2%).

Other detailed breakdowns of paid employees including by local authority, by age and by sector are published by the Office for National Statistics.

Further information

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) have highlighted that the challenges with maintaining response rates for the LFS continue to affect data quality despite the reweighting of the estimates. LFS-based labour market statistics will be labelled as official statistics in development (Office for Statistics Regulation) until further review and we continue to recommend caution when interpreting this data.

Confidence intervals for headline labour market rates are available on the ONS website. The latest data shows there were no statistically significant changes for headline labour market indicators in the three months to February 2024. This suggests that the quarterly and annual changes for these indicators are unlikely to reflect a real change in the data.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) published reweighted LFS estimates for Wales in February 2024 after pausing the LFS based estimates in September 2023 following a decrease in data quality. The data has been reweighted from July to September 2022, resulting in a step change in the data. The full impact of this reweighting is detailed in the article ‘Impact of reweighting on Labour Force Survey key indicators in Wales’, available in the February 2023 Labour Market Overview.

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