Subnational household projections (national parks): 2018-based

These projections provide an indication of the future number of households and their composition in the national parks’ for the period 2018 to 2043.

The projections are not forecasts. They do not attempt to predict the impact of government policies, changing economic circumstances or other factors (like the coronavirus pandemic) on future household population.

Main points for 2018 to 2028

Projected change in number of households

• The numbers of households in all three national parks are projected to increase by 2028.
• The numbers of households are projected to increase by 4.8% (almost 730) in the Brecon Beacons, 5.3% (550(r)) in Pembrokeshire Coast and by 0.3% (40) in Snowdonia.
• One-person households and two-person households with no children are projected to continue being the most common household type for all three national parks.

(r) Revised on 19 May 2021 due to rounding issues

One-person households

• One-person households are projected to be increasingly common, making up 35%, 37% and 42% of all households by 2028 for the Brecon Beacons, Pembrokeshire Coast, and Snowdonia respectively.
• It is projected that the total number of males living in one-person households will increase by 15% compared to 3% for females.
• It is projected that living in one-person households will continue to be more common for females in older age groups than males.
• The number of males in younger age groups living in one-person households is projected to continue to be higher than for females.

Household population

• In Brecon Beacons and Pembrokeshire Coast, the household population is projected to increase, by 1,100 (3.3%) and 500 (2.3%) respectively.
• In Snowdonia, the household population is projected to decrease by -1.9% (480(r)).

(r) Revised on 19 May 2021 due to rounding issues.