Labour market statistics (Annual Population Survey): July 2021 to June 2022
Labour market data for UK countries and regions and also for local areas for July 2021 to June 2022.
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Background
The Annual Population Survey (APS) combines the boosted samples of the Labour Force Survey (LFS). It provides rolling four-quarter labour market data for UK countries and regions as well as for local areas.
The LFS remains the main source for headline labour market indicators at a Wales level. The larger sample of the APS allows for estimates at a local authority level and for sub-groups of the population.
Welsh Government published a more detailed analysis of protected characteristics in the labour market in Wales on 16 December 2021. We welcome your feedback on this publication and priorities for future analyses, please see contact details at the end of this release.
2022 Reweighting
On 13 September 2022, ONS published a reweighted APS dataset for March 2020 onwards. This was due to a planned reweight (using updated Pay As You Earn (PAYE) Real Time Information (RTI) data) as well as to correct an error affecting grossing factors for some age groups for the annual periods between April 2019 to March 2020 and July 2020 to June 2021. Due to this reweighting, the April 2021 to March 2022 Welsh Government Annual Population Survey release was cancelled and this period will be included as an update alongside July 2021 to June 2022 within this release.
Employment
The employment rate for people aged 16 to 64 in Wales was 73.7% in the year ending June 2022, up 1.7 percentage points on the previous year. The UK rate was 75.4%, up 1.1 percentage points over the year.
The largest increases in employment rates over the year were in Rhondda Cynon Taf (up 9.3 percentage points to 75.1%), Merthyr Tydfil (up 7.1 percentage points to 72.9%) and Blaenau Gwent (up 6.9 percentage points to 74.1%).
The Percentage of people in employment is one of the national wellbeing indicators. A national milestone has been set for this national indicator which is to eradicate the gap between the employment rate in Wales and the UK by 2050, with a focus on fair work and raising labour market participation of under-represented groups. Welsh employment has gradually increased since 2011 and the gap between the UK and Wales employment rate has gradually closed to 1.7 percentage points.
Further information on the national indicators, national milestones and the Well-being of Future Generations Act is provided towards the end of this release.
Unemployment
The unemployment rate for people aged 16 and over in Wales was 3.5%, down 0.9 percentage points compared with the previous year and the lowest value since APS records began in 1996. The UK rate was 3.8%, down 1.2 percentage points over the year, and was also the lowest value since APS records began in 1996.
The largest decreases in unemployment rates over the year were in Vale of Glamorgan (down 2.5 percentage points to 3.0%), Powys (down 1.9 percentage points to 3.8%) and Merthyr Tydfil (down 1.7 percentage points to 4.5%). Wrexham saw the largest increase in unemployment rate of 1.9 percentage points to 4.7%.
Please note data for Blaenau Gwent, Bridgend, Ceredigion, Flintshire, Gwynedd, Monmouthshire and Rhondda Cynon Taf have been suppressed due to sample sizes being too small to provide sufficient data quality.
Economic inactivity (excluding students)
The economic inactivity rate for people aged 16 to 64 in Wales was 19.8%, down 0.7 percentage points compared with the previous year. The UK was 17.6%, up 0.3 percentage points over the year.
The lowest estimated economic inactivity rates were in the Vale of Glamorgan (14.1%), Powys (14.7%) and Flintshire (14.8%).
Youth statistics (aged 16 to 24)
Employment
The youth employment rate in Wales was 53.7%, up 4.3 percentage points compared to the previous year. The UK rate was 53.7%, up 4.1 percentage points compared to the previous year.
The youth employment rate for males increased in Wales by 6.5 percentage points compared to the previous year to 54.7%.
Young females in Wales saw an increase in their employment rate of 1.8 percentage points over the year to 52.7%.
Unemployment
The youth unemployment rate in Wales was 9.8%, below the UK rate of 10.2%. Both figures for the youth unemployment rate were the lowest since APS records began in 1996.
The youth unemployment rate for males was higher than females in Wales at 12.0% and 7.2% respectively. This is the lowest female youth unemployment rate in Wales since APS records began in 1996.
The youth unemployment gender difference in Wales was 4.8 percentage points in the year ending June 2022, with a higher rate for males than females. This compares to 2.9 percentage points in 2001. The UK gap was 2.8 percentage points, down from 3.1 percentage points in 2001.
Unemployment data on StatsWales
Economic inactivity (excluding students)
The youth economic inactivity rate in Wales was 21.3%, down 1.3 percentage points compared to the previous year. The UK rate was 18.2%, up 1.0 percentage points over the year.
The youth economic inactivity rate for males decreased by 8.3 percentage points compared to the previous year, whereas the rate for females increased by 7.5 percentage points. Care should be taken when interpreting these changes due to the recent volatility of the series.
Long-term unemployment
35.4% of unemployed people in Wales had been unemployed for 12 months or more. This compares with 28.9% in the UK.
The proportion of unemployed people in Wales who have been unemployed for 12 months or more increased by 4.1 percentage points compared to the previous year and increased by 9.5 percentage points compared to pre-pandemic estimates (2019).
37.7% of unemployed males in Wales had been unemployed for 12 months or more, up 0.6 percentage points over the year. This compares with 33.0% in the UK.
32.3% of unemployed females in Wales had been unemployed for 12 months or more, up 8.7 percentage points over the year. This compares with 24.3% in the UK.
Disability status
The employment rate for disabled people in Wales saw an increase of 2.5 percentage points on the previous year, compared to a 2.1 percentage point increase for non-disabled people.
The unemployment rate decreased more for disabled people to 6.6%. This compares to an unemployment rate of 2.9% for non-disabled people in Wales.
Ethnicity
The employment rate for Black, Asian and minority ethnic people aged 16 to 64 in Wales increased by 1.8 percentage points over the year to 66.4%. This compares to 74.1% for white people, up 1.6 percentage points over the year.
The Welsh unemployment rate for Black, Asian and minority ethnic people was 9.4%, a 3.5 percentage point increase over the year. This is compared to 3.3% for white people in Wales, the lowest rate since APS records began in 1998, a 1.1 percentage point decrease over the year.
Quality and methodology information
Relevance
The labour market in Wales can be measured by both the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and the Annual Population Survey (APS). The APS combines the boosted samples of the LFS. It provides rolling four-quarter labour market data for UK countries and regions and also for local areas. The larger sample of the APS allows for estimates at a local authority level and for sub-groups of the population.
The LFS remains the main source for headline labour market indicators at a Wales level, and the data are updated monthly. The latest LFS data is published by the Welsh Government each month in the labour market overview release. This release combines LFS data with other data sources (including the APS) to provide a more detailed commentary on the labour market in Wales. ONS also publish a monthly labour market overview (Office for National Statistics) release which provides an overview of the labour market for the UK as a whole and an additional release which provides an overview of the labour market across the regions and countries of the UK (Office for National Statistics).
This release brings together the latest key APS statistics relating to the Welsh labour market with a more detailed commentary on the regions in Wales and the protected characteristics of people within the Welsh labour market.
The statistics in this release are used by the Welsh Government to monitor the headline statistics for the Welsh labour market as well as providing comparisons to the UK labour market. This release is also used to monitor progress against some of the targets in Welsh Government’s Employability Plan. The release complements the Welsh Economy in Numbers dashboard, which provides a broad picture of the Welsh economy and labour market.
This release is used by other public sector organisations, businesses, academia and private individuals as a means of identifying the key trends in the headline economic and labour market statistics for Wales. Our 2012 user consultation provides more information on how our outputs are used.
The Welsh Government is considering how best to meet user need for analysis of the labour market by protected characteristics. Data is currently available on StatsWales and Nomis.
Accuracy
The data presented in this release is based on sample surveys, therefore is subject to sampling variability. This means the data is subject to differing degrees of sampling variability, i.e., the true value for any measure lies in a differing range about the estimated value. This range or sampling variability increases as the detail in the data increases, for example individual local authority data are subject to higher variability than Wales data.
Estimates of employment, unemployment and economic inactivity are available from both the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and the APS. Estimates from the LFS are based on a rolling quarter and are updated monthly. LFS sample sizes are too low to produce reliable estimates for geographies below Wales level. Estimates from the APS are based on a rolling twelve months, updated each quarter. The APS uses a bigger sample than the LFS so is used to produce estimates for geographies in Wales. At Wales level, the APS is a slightly more robust measure than the LFS, but it is less timely and slower to adapt to changes in the labour market.
National Statistics status
The United Kingdom Statistics Authority has designated these statistics as National Statistics, in accordance with the Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007 and signifying compliance with the Code of Practice for Statistics.
National Statistics status means that official statistics meet the highest standards of trustworthiness, quality and public value.
All official statistics should comply with all aspects of the Code of Practice for Statistics. They are awarded National Statistics status following an assessment by the UK Statistics Authority’s regulatory arm. The Authority considers whether the statistics meet the highest standards of Code compliance, including the value they add to public decisions and debate.
It is Welsh Government’s responsibility to maintain compliance with the standards expected of National Statistics. If we become concerned about whether these statistics are still meeting the appropriate standards, we will discuss any concerns with the Authority promptly. National Statistics status can be removed at any point when the highest standards are not maintained, and reinstated when standards are restored.
The continued designation of these statistics as National Statistics was confirmed in March 2010 following a compliance check by the Office for Statistics Regulation. These statistics last underwent a full assessment against the Code of Practice in March 2010.
Since the latest review by the Office for Statistics Regulation, we have continued to comply with the Code of Practice for Statistics, and have made the following improvements:
- Changed to a HTML release for increased interactivity and increased accessibility for users.
- Expanded the coverage of topics to include more detail about the headline labour market statistics, and added sections on youth employment and long-term unemployment.
- Introduced a new section on the labour market by different protected characteristics.
- Added charts which allow users to clearly see any trends and volatility in the data.
Well-being of Future Generations Act (WFG)
The Well-being of Future Generations Act 2015 is about improving the social, economic, environmental and cultural wellbeing of Wales. The Act puts in place seven wellbeing goals for Wales. These are for a more equal, prosperous, resilient, healthier and globally responsible Wales, with cohesive communities and a vibrant culture and thriving Welsh language. Under section (10)(1) of the Act, the Welsh Ministers must (a) publish indicators (“national indicators”) that must be applied for the purpose of measuring progress towards the achievement of the wellbeing goals, and (b) lay a copy of the national indicators before Senedd Cymru. Under section 10(8) of the Well-being of Future Generations Act, where the Welsh Ministers revise the national indicators, they must as soon as reasonably practicable (a) publish the indicators as revised and (b) lay a copy of them before the Senedd. These national indicators were laid before the Senedd in 2021. The indicators laid on 14 December 2021 replace the set laid on 16 March 2016 and this releases includes the following national indicator:
- (21) percentage of people in employment
Information on the indicators, along with narratives for each of the wellbeing goals and associated technical information is available in the Wellbeing of Wales report.
This release includes, contextual indicators, namely the basket of indicators, presented in the wellbeing report.
As a national indicator under the Act they must be referred to in the analyses of local wellbeing produced by public services boards when they are analysing the state of economic, social, environmental and cultural wellbeing in their areas.
Further information on the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015.
The statistics included in this release could also provide supporting narrative to the national indicators and be used by public services boards in relation to their local wellbeing assessments and local wellbeing plans.
