Labour market overview: March 2021 (previously known as Key economic statistics)

Headline labour market indicators, 3 months to January 2021

The headline labour market indicators estimated from the Labour Force Survey provide an indication of how the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic is affecting the labour market. Other data sources, such as the number of paid employees presented later in this headline, can also be used to produce a more complete picture.

Labour Force Survey (LFS) responses are weighted to official population projections. As the current projections are 2018-based they are based on demographic trends that pre-date the COVID-19 pandemic. ONS are analysing the population totals used in the weighting process and may make adjustments if appropriate. Rates published from the LFS remain robust; however, levels and changes in levels should be used with caution.

Employment rate

Image

Wales: The employment rate in Wales was 72.1%. This is 0.3 percentage points down on the quarter and 2.3 percentage points down on the year. September to November showed the second largest annual decrease since comparable records began in 1992 (2.4 percentage points). 

UK: The UK employment rate was 75.0%. This is 0.3 percentage points down on the quarter and 1.5 percentage points down on the year, one of the largest annual decreases in employment rate since December to February 2010.

Unemployment rate

Image

Wales: The unemployment rate in Wales was 4.5%. This is 0.1 percentage points down on the quarter and 1.1 percentage points up on the year. September to November showed the largest annual increase since July to September 2011 (1.6 percentage points).

UK: The UK unemployment rate was 5.0%. This is 0.1 percentage points up on the quarter and 1.1 percentage points up on the year. Last month (October to December) showed the largest annual increase in the unemployment rate (1.3 percentage points) since October to December 2009.

Economic inactivity rate

Image

Wales: The economic inactivity rate in Wales was 24.4%. This is 0.4 percentage points up on the quarter and 1.4 percentage points up on the year.

UK: The UK economic inactivity rate was 21.0%. This is 0.3 percentage points up on the quarter and 0.6 percentage points up on the year. This is the largest annual increase since February to April 2010.

Monthly paid employees and earnings from Pay As You Earn Real Time Information

The Office for National Statistics and HM Revenue & Customs publish data for Wales on payrolled employees, mean pay, aggregate pay and single month estimates for median pay.

Paid Employees

Image

The number of paid employees has generally increased in recent years, but has fallen during the pandemic.

Early estimates for February 2021 indicate that the number of paid employees in Wales was 1.24 million. This was a decrease of 25,000 (2.0%) on February 2020, but an increase of 10,100 (0.8%) compared with the lowest point in November 2020.